Showing posts with label Global Warming. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Global Warming. Show all posts

Sunday, April 26, 2009

Our Broken System

Most of the public understands that the legalized bribery known euphemistically as lobbying has to a great extent made our government unresponsive to actual citizens - except, of course, when we demand that members of Congress grandstand against AIG bonuses without actually doing anything substantive. Obama ran against this acceptable corruption in large part, and this line of attack certainly resonated with a sizable segment of the electorate (whether reality matches the rhetoric is another matter entirely). Indeed, we wouldn't need change we can believe in if we didn't think the system was rotten, with inside-dealing and kickbacks being the rule.

Given this, the recent report in the New York Times that a consortium of some of the country's largest companies lobbied Congress against taking action to mitigate global warming despite their own scientists' reports that human activity had unequivocally contributed to global warming should not be shocking. As the Times reports:
For more than a decade the Global Climate Coalition, a group representing industries with profits tied to fossil fuels, led an aggressive lobbying and public relations campaign against the idea that emissions of heat-trapping gases could lead to global warming.

“The role of greenhouse gases in climate change is not well understood,” the coalition said in a scientific “backgrounder” provided to lawmakers and journalists through the early 1990s, adding that “scientists differ” on the issue.

But a document filed in a federal lawsuit demonstrates that even as the coalition worked to sway opinion, its own scientific and technical experts were advising that the science backing the role of greenhouse gases in global warming could not be refuted.

“The scientific basis for the Greenhouse Effect and the potential impact of human emissions of greenhouse gases such as CO2 on climate is well established and cannot be denied,” the experts wrote in an internal report compiled for the coalition in 1995.

The coalition was financed by fees from large corporations and trade groups representing the oil, coal and auto industries, among others. In 1997, the year an international climate agreement that came to be known as the Kyoto Protocol was negotiated, its budget totaled $1.68 million, according to tax records obtained by environmental groups.

Throughout the 1990s, when the coalition conducted a multimillion-dollar advertising campaign challenging the merits of an international agreement, policy makers and pundits were fiercely debating whether humans could dangerously warm the planet.
I am shocked, shocked that oil and automobile companies would misrepresent the science of global warming! And yet on some level this latest revelation is somewhat surprising. This is not cigarette companies lying about smoking causing cancer. This is worse. Much worse. Smoking (mostly) only effects smokers; global warming will effect everyone. That such short-sighted business interests so effectively controlled government policy brings to mind Mancur Olson's theory about how great nations decline: economic interests capture the government, maximizing their own interests at the expense of the common good. This eventually leads to economic stagnation. Is this how a great nation ends? Not with a bang but with a bailout - and tax breaks?

Friday, April 10, 2009

Pinch Me, Thomas Friedman Is Making Sense

Even a broken clock is right twice a day. Or, when it comes to Thomas Friedman, even Captain Obvious writes a moderately insightful column every few weeks. In his latest column, Friedman makes a fairly persuasive case for preferring a carbon tax to cap-and-trade. The pluses:
  • a carbon tax is transparent, and easy to understand
  • cap-and-trade could be gamed by Wall Street, making a simple carbon tax preferable
  • offsetting a carbon tax with a commensurate payroll tax cut is an easy way to make it revenue neutral, so opponents can't criticize it a regressive burden on working families; whereas the opacity of cap-and-trade is open to this line of political attack (this is the point of cap-and-trade: hide where the tax is coming from)
Of course, the Obama administration is planning on generating some $600 billion in revenue from selling carbon permits, so they probably wouldn't be too keen on a revenue neutral plan.
More from Friedman:
Since the opponents of cap-and-trade are going to pillory it as a tax anyway, why not go for the real thing — a simple, transparent, economy-wide carbon tax?

Representative John B. Larson, chairman of the House Democratic Caucus, has circulated a draft bill that would impose “a per-unit tax on the carbon-dioxide content of fossil fuels, beginning at a rate of $15 per metric ton of CO2 and increasing by $10 each year.” The bill sets a goal, rather than a cap, on emissions at 80 percent below 2005 levels by 2050, and if the goal for the first five years is not met, the tax automatically increases by an additional $5 per metric ton. The bill implements a fee on carbon-intensive imports, as well, to press China to follow suit. Larson would use most of the income to reduce people’s payroll taxes: We tax your carbon sins and un-tax your payroll wins.

People get that — and simplicity matters. Americans will be willing to pay a tax for their children to be less threatened, breathe cleaner air and live in a more sustainable world with a stronger America. They are much less likely to support a firm in London trading offsets from an electric bill in Boston with a derivatives firm in New York in order to help fund an aluminum smelter in Beijing, which is what cap-and-trade is all about. People won’t support what they can’t explain.
Don't worry: I'm sure the Tom Friedman we all know and despise will be back next week. He'll probably be telling us yet again why we must pay banks whatever they want if we're going to fix the economy.

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